UTA Arad vs U Craiova 1948 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
5º
2º
22
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
37 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 14 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTA Arad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CSM
0 - 2
UTA
36%
29%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
UTA
3 - 1
GAL
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
UTA
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 3
HER
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 0
BOT
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
U Craiova 1948
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CRA
3 - 2
UCL
41%
26%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 0
CRA
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 1
DBU
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
4 - 1
CRA
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
CSM
0 - 0
CRA
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |