Liga II Final
Global 5-4
UTA Arad vs Dunărea Călăraşi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTA Arad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 1
UTA
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 3
UTA
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
UTA
1 - 0
MIO
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
UTA
3 - 1
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
GAZ
4 - 0
UTA
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 1
UTA
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ARG
0 - 3
DUN
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 3
FAR
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
BRI
0 - 2
DUN
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SCB
1 - 1
DUN
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |