Rudersdorf vs Edelserpentin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
16º
16º
33
3º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rudersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SVS
3 - 0
USV
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KLI
4 - 1
USV
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
USV
1 - 0
ASK
41%
22%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
USV
38%
22%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
USV
2 - 1
PIN
17%
18%
66%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Edelserpentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SPG
0 - 1
ASK
33%
22%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
SPG
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 2
PIN
16%
17%
66%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BAS
4 - 0
SPG
66%
18%
17%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 2
HOR
27%
20%
53%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |