USV Hercules vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
77.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
USV
1 - 3
VIT
63%
19%
18%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
USV
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
USV
2 - 0
DON
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
WES
4 - 3
USV
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
USV
4 - 2
DON
44%
24%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
GRO
33%
25%
43%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
VVV
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
STP
3 - 0
GRO
44%
24%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GRO
2 - 1
UTR
23%
25%
53%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRO
76%
16%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |