USV Hercules vs Blauw Geel '38 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
USV
2 - 2
HOO
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
DON
0 - 1
USV
50%
23%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
USV
2 - 0
JOS
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
EVV
0 - 5
USV
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
USV
2 - 0
GEM
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Blauw Geel '38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
BLA
4 - 0
DON
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
GVV
4 - 1
BLA
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
BLA
0 - 0
EVV
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
HSC
1 - 4
BLA
35%
23%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BLA
5 - 1
HOO
70%
16%
13%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |