USV Hercules vs Blauw Geel '38 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2019 |
USV
2 - 3
WES
31%
23%
45%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
QUI
0 - 3
USV
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
USV
2 - 3
GOE
30%
23%
47%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
USV
1 - 0
EVV
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ADO
1 - 2
USV
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Blauw Geel '38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BLA
2 - 4
TIE
20%
22%
58%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
EVV
3 - 0
BLA
40%
26%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
OSS
0 - 3
BLA
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
BLA
0 - 5
QUI
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ADO
2 - 2
BLA
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |