USV Hercules vs ACV Assen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
USV
4 - 1
UNA
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
JOS
1 - 4
USV
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
USV
3 - 1
OSS
28%
25%
48%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
WES
1 - 1
USV
41%
23%
37%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
USV
2 - 2
HOO
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ACV Assen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DOV
1 - 2
ACV
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ACV
2 - 2
SPA
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
VVO
2 - 4
ACV
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ACV
1 - 1
HOE
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LIS
2 - 3
ACV
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |