Halbturn vs Rudersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
61.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+225%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
12º
16º
12º
17
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halbturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ASK
2 - 0
HAL
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 1
MAR
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PIN
7 - 1
HAL
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 4
BAS
8%
13%
79%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
5 - 1
HAL
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Rudersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
USV
0 - 7
STM
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SPG
6 - 1
USV
53%
21%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
USV
1 - 1
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
USV
1 - 4
KLI
28%
21%
50%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ASK
2 - 0
USV
58%
19%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |