Halbturn vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
75.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+169%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
12º
16º
12º
17
11º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halbturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PIN
7 - 1
HAL
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 4
BAS
8%
13%
79%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
5 - 1
HAL
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 4
PAR
6%
11%
83%
|
8 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 0
HAL
92%
6%
2%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
STM
42%
22%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 0
MAR
28%
21%
51%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
70%
17%
14%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
USV
0 - 1
MAR
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASK
53%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |