Halbturn vs Horitschon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
68.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+183%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
12º
16º
12º
52
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halbturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
HAL
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 2
LEI
14%
17%
70%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 4
ASV
10%
14%
76%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DEU
0 - 0
HAL
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
NEU
4 - 3
HAL
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
4 - 1
STM
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 2
HOR
27%
20%
53%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 3
SVS
91%
7%
2%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
USV
0 - 1
HOR
26%
20%
54%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
3 - 2
ASK
55%
21%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |