Halbturn vs Bad Sauerbrunn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
79.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+225%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
12º
16º
12º
40
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halbturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
5 - 1
HAL
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 4
PAR
6%
11%
83%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 0
HAL
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 3
RIT
4%
9%
87%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 0
HAL
90%
7%
2%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Sauerbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 0
STM
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SPG
2 - 2
BAS
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
80%
13%
8%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
USV
2 - 3
BAS
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
ASK
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |