Halbturn vs Siegendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
76%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+183%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
12º
16º
12º
74
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halbturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DEU
0 - 0
HAL
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
NEU
4 - 3
HAL
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 2
KLI
14%
17%
69%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
STM
3 - 0
HAL
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 0
SPG
15%
18%
68%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Siegendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 1
STM
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SOP
1 - 1
ASV
14%
19%
67%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 0
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 0
SPG
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
SVS
0 - 2
ASV
4%
11%
85%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | +1 |