Halbturn vs Edelserpentin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
67.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+199%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
12º
16º
12º
33
3º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halbturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 1
HAL
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 3
USV
20%
19%
61%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ASK
2 - 0
HAL
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 1
MAR
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PIN
7 - 1
HAL
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Edelserpentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 1
STM
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 4
KLI
30%
22%
49%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
2 - 1
SPG
44%
22%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SPG
6 - 1
USV
53%
21%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 3
SPG
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |