Uster vs Wil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
39.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
UZW
5 - 2
UST
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
UST
1 - 5
RUT
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CHU
2 - 2
UST
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
WIN
2 - 1
UST
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
LIN
0 - 4
UST
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
3 - 3
LIN
47%
21%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WSG
2 - 4
WIL
20%
20%
61%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 0
SIR
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
FRE
5 - 2
WIL
63%
18%
20%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
WIL
4 - 0
MAR
68%
17%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |