Uster vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
34%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALT
2 - 1
UST
25%
22%
53%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
UST
3 - 3
SEU
38%
23%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 0
UST
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
UST
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
UST
2 - 2
FRA
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 2
FRA
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
GOS
2 - 0
FRE
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FRE
0 - 2
AMR
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SIR
3 - 1
FRE
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 0
WID
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |