USSA Vertou vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
5º
3º
40
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LPS
2 - 2
USS
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
USS
2 - 2
ACG
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NIO
1 - 1
USS
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
USS
2 - 0
ASC
77%
14%
10%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NAN
5 - 0
USS
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 5
LAV
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 3
SPG
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FON
1 - 0
SPG
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LPS
0 - 0
SPG
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 0
SPG
55%
24%
22%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |