USSA Vertou vs Saint-Nazaire AF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
5º
3º
22
10º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
USS
11%
19%
71%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
USS
1 - 1
FON
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 1
USS
30%
23%
47%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LAV
0 - 0
USS
37%
26%
36%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
USS
2 - 1
SPG
62%
19%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Nazaire AF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SNA
1 - 1
LAV
21%
22%
56%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 3
SNA
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SNA
0 - 0
LPS
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ACG
0 - 3
SNA
14%
18%
68%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SNA
0 - 4
NIO
31%
24%
46%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |