USSA Vertou vs Sablé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
11º
5º
15
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
23 | 44 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 42 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 41 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 40% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 47% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 1
USS
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LSD
1 - 2
USS
21%
21%
59%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
USS
2 - 0
NAN
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
USS
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
USS
3 - 1
SNA
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 0
SAB
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SNA
1 - 1
SAB
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 0
ACG
82%
11%
6%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NIO
3 - 0
SAB
40%
23%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |