USSA Vertou vs La Chataigneraie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
11º
5º
23
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
23 | 44 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 42 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 41 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
23 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SAB
1 - 3
USS
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
USS
0 - 1
VIT
42%
24%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 1
USS
24%
25%
51%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
USS
3 - 2
PAN
64%
18%
18%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 1
USS
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
La Chataigneraie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ASC
0 - 0
CHA
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FON
4 - 0
ASC
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LAV
0 - 0
ASC
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ASC
3 - 2
SPG
37%
23%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 2
ASC
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |