USSA Vertou vs Ancienne Château-Gontier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+98%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
5º
3º
11
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NIO
1 - 1
USS
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
USS
2 - 0
ASC
77%
14%
10%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NAN
5 - 0
USS
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
USS
2 - 2
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SNA
1 - 1
USS
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ACG
0 - 3
LAV
13%
19%
68%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPG
4 - 1
ACG
81%
13%
7%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 2
SAB
10%
15%
75%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ACG
0 - 1
NIO
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 1
ACG
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |