USM Saran U19 vs Valenciennes U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
41.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
11º
11º
33
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 0
SRA
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SRA
3 - 2
GON
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 2
SRA
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SRA
3 - 1
LIL
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AMI
2 - 1
SRA
84%
10%
6%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DRA
0 - 0
VAL
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
CAE
44%
23%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
GON
1 - 2
VAL
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
LEN
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 2
VAL
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |