USM Saran U19 vs Montrouge U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
14º
12º
14
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
2 - 1
SRA
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SRA
3 - 2
CHA
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
SRA
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PSG
4 - 3
SRA
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SRA
1 - 5
LIL
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Montrouge U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 2
LIL
10%
15%
75%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 0
MFC
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
VAL
12%
17%
71%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DKQ
1 - 3
MFC
86%
10%
5%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 3
AMI
8%
14%
79%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |