USM Saran U19 vs Lens U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
75.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
11º
11º
58
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LIL
1 - 1
SRA
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SRA
0 - 6
AMI
11%
16%
74%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
REI
3 - 0
SRA
70%
17%
14%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ORL
2 - 3
SRA
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SRA
0 - 3
MON
13%
18%
69%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Lens U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LEN
4 - 2
VAL
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 4
LEN
50%
22%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 0
GON
66%
17%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 1
DRA
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 2
LEN
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |