USM Saran U19 vs Dunkerque U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
57.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
14º
12º
40
3º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AMI
6 - 0
SRA
82%
11%
6%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SRA
1 - 4
REI
22%
19%
59%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
SRA
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SRA
2 - 1
MFC
74%
15%
12%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
2 - 1
SRA
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dunkerque U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DKQ
3 - 2
LIL
35%
22%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 3
DKQ
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 1
DKQ
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DKQ
3 - 3
REI
34%
21%
46%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HAV
3 - 7
DKQ
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |