USM Saran U19 vs Dunkerque U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
11º
11º
34
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DRA
4 - 5
SRA
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 3
SRA
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SRA
2 - 0
CAE
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SRA
1 - 1
HAV
11%
15%
74%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GON
1 - 3
SRA
73%
15%
12%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dunkerque U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DKQ
3 - 0
CAE
11%
15%
74%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GON
0 - 1
DKQ
65%
18%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DKQ
1 - 4
LEN
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 1
DKQ
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DKQ
1 - 4
AMI
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |