USM Saran U19 vs Chambly U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
14º
12º
33
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
SRA
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PSG
4 - 3
SRA
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SRA
1 - 5
LIL
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 0
SRA
70%
16%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SRA
1 - 1
VAL
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chambly U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
LIL
22%
20%
57%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 0
CHA
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 7
VAL
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DKQ
1 - 0
CHA
50%
22%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
AMI
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +2 |