USM Saran U19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
61.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
14º
12º
36
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SRA
1 - 2
DKQ
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AMI
6 - 0
SRA
82%
11%
6%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SRA
1 - 4
REI
22%
19%
59%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
SRA
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SRA
2 - 1
MFC
74%
15%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 1
LIL
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 1
PSG
25%
21%
55%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAE
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 1
AMI
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +3 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 2
CAE
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |