USM Khenchela vs CR Belouizdad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
41.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
10º
15º
11º
0
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
0 | 50 |
1º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 50 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 49 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 49 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 49 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
6º
|
0 | 47 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 47 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 44 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 43 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 35 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 34 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 32 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
2% | 21% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
2% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation
|
19% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Khenchela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
USK
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
USK
2 - 2
NCM
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 5
USK
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
USK
1 - 0
SAO
29%
30%
41%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
CHL
4 - 1
USK
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CR Belouizdad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 1
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
BEL
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 1
CHL
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 0
BEL
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 0
EBA
56%
26%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |