USM Bel Abbès vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.8%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
30.2%
51.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
19.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
TLE
2 - 2
USM
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
USM
1 - 2
HAR
19%
27%
54%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
JSK
2 - 1
USM
65%
22%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
USM
0 - 1
EUL
26%
28%
45%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
SET
4 - 0
USM
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2013 |
USM
3 - 2
ALA
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
USM
1 - 0
BEJ
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
ORA
2 - 0
USM
36%
30%
34%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 1
USM
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
USM
0 - 0
SAO
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |