USM Bel Abbès vs Tlemcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
40.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 1
USM
69%
21%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
USM
1 - 0
JSK
24%
31%
45%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
EUL
2 - 0
USM
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
USM
0 - 2
SET
16%
25%
60%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
BBA
2 - 0
USM
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tlemcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TLE
1 - 0
BEJ
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
TLE
50%
27%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
TLE
0 - 1
SAO
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
USM
4 - 0
TLE
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
TLE
0 - 0
CHL
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |