USM Bel Abbès vs Paradou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
USM
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
DTA
0 - 0
USM
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
USM
2 - 2
USM
32%
29%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
USM
2 - 2
MOB
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 0
USM
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Paradou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 0
MOB
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAR
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
HUS
2 - 1
PAR
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 3
USM
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
CON
2 - 0
PAR
57%
24%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |