USM Bel Abbès vs NA Hussein Dey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CAB
1 - 0
USM
37%
32%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
USM
0 - 0
HAR
20%
29%
51%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
USM
1 - 1
CAB
49%
29%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
KHR
1 - 0
USM
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
USM
1 - 0
BEJ
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NA Hussein Dey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
HUS
0 - 1
JSK
34%
30%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RCR
0 - 3
HUS
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
HUS
0 - 0
MOB
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
HUS
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
HUS
1 - 0
ORA
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |