USM Bel Abbès vs ES Setif analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
50.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
ASM
2 - 1
USM
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
USM
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2014 |
MOB
1 - 0
USM
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
USM
1 - 1
SAO
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CHL
1 - 1
USM
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
SET
3 - 2
USM
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
SET
1 - 2
ORA
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
SET
3 - 2
OLY
81%
13%
5%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CON
1 - 2
SET
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
SET
2 - 2
WES
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |