USM Bel Abbès vs ES Setif analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
59.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
BBA
2 - 0
USM
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
USM
1 - 0
CAB
26%
28%
47%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
ALG
3 - 1
USM
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
USM
0 - 2
CON
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 0
USM
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
SET
1 - 0
BEJ
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ORA
0 - 2
SET
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
SET
1 - 0
USM
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
SET
33%
29%
39%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SET
3 - 1
TLE
72%
18%
11%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |