USM Alger vs USM Khenchela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2020 |
USM
1 - 0
PAR
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
USM
0 - 1
SUN
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
USM
1 - 0
USM
34%
28%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2019 |
USM
1 - 0
BEL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
PET
1 - 1
USM
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
USM Khenchela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2018 |
USK
1 - 1
HUS
9%
14%
77%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
IHC
1 - 3
USK
6%
13%
81%
|
52 | 8 | 44 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
NCM
1 - 0
USK
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
USK
2 - 2
PAR
22%
21%
57%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
USK
1 - 0
OSM
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 13 | 39 | 0 |