USM Alger vs USM Bel Abbès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ORA
1 - 1
USM
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
USM
3 - 1
BBA
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
RCR
2 - 4
USM
21%
27%
53%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
HUS
2 - 1
USM
25%
28%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
NCM
2 - 1
USM
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
USM
0 - 2
BEL
28%
29%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
TLE
3 - 1
USM
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
USM
1 - 0
USB
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
NCM
1 - 0
USM
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
USM
2 - 1
CHL
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |