USM Alger vs Petro de Luanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
WYD
3 - 1
USM
59%
22%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
CHL
0 - 0
USM
17%
26%
57%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2020 |
USM
1 - 0
JSK
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SUN
2 - 1
USM
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
USM
6 - 1
USK
88%
9%
3%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Petro de Luanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PET
2 - 2
SUN
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
PET
0 - 0
BLU
75%
18%
8%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
PET
2 - 2
WYD
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
WYD
4 - 1
PET
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
PET
2 - 0
PDC
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |