USM Alger vs Paradou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
7º
5º
23
1º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 51 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 48 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 48 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 44 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 38 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 36 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 34 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 28 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 25 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
17% | 29% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
15% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
USM
0 - 3
ALG
55%
26%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
USM
2 - 0
JAR
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
USM
6 - 0
OUM
83%
11%
6%
|
71 | 33 | 38 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ORA
1 - 2
USM
8%
19%
73%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ASE
1 - 1
USM
29%
28%
44%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paradou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 2
BEL
49%
27%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 2
JHD
82%
13%
6%
|
74 | 9 | 65 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
CRS
1 - 3
PAR
4%
10%
87%
|
74 | 8 | 66 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 1
USB
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
ESM
0 - 2
PAR
23%
27%
50%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |