USM Alger vs Olympique Médéa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
SET
1 - 1
USM
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
USM
2 - 3
BEL
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
ALG
3 - 2
USM
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
USM
1 - 2
PAR
59%
22%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
AML
0 - 0
USM
19%
30%
51%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Médéa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
OLY
1 - 0
CON
31%
30%
39%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
ORA
1 - 0
OLY
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
OLY
1 - 0
JSK
32%
30%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
DTA
1 - 0
OLY
47%
29%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
SET
1 - 0
OLY
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |