USM Alger vs MSP Batna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
SET
2 - 2
USM
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 2
USM
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
USM
2 - 1
EUL
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
USM
1 - 0
BEJ
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
KHR
1 - 0
USM
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
MSP Batna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
SET
4 - 1
MSP
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
MSP
1 - 1
BEL
33%
30%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
KHR
1 - 1
MSP
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
MSP
0 - 1
EUL
40%
29%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
BEJ
0 - 0
MSP
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |