USM Alger vs MC Oran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
7º
5º
18
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 51 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 48 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 48 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 44 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 38 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 36 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 34 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 28 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 25 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
17% | 1.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
15% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SET
1 - 1
USM
49%
28%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
USM
3 - 0
ASE
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
JAR
0 - 0
USM
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
USM
6 - 0
ORA
88%
10%
2%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
USM
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
MC Oran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
EBA
1 - 0
ORA
32%
29%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ORA
1 - 0
USB
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 1
ORA
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ORA
0 - 0
USK
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
OAK
3 - 1
ORA
32%
28%
39%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |