USM Alger vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
USM
1 - 0
USM
34%
28%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2019 |
USM
1 - 0
BEL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
PET
1 - 1
USM
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
USM
1 - 1
WYD
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
USB
1 - 0
USM
16%
25%
59%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
SUN
1 - 0
POL
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
BID
1 - 1
SUN
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
SUN
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
SUN
3 - 1
SFC
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
WYD
0 - 0
SUN
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |