USM Alger vs JSM Béjaïa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
KHR
1 - 0
USM
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
USM
1 - 2
TLE
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
CAB
2 - 0
USM
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
USM
1 - 0
USM
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
BEJ
0 - 1
USM
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
JSM Béjaïa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
BEJ
0 - 0
MSP
52%
27%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 0
BEJ
44%
30%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
BEJ
1 - 1
EUL
51%
28%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 1
BEJ
44%
30%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2009 |
KOU
1 - 2
BEJ
24%
29%
47%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |