Arab Club Champions Cup Last 16
Global 2-7
USM Alger vs Ismaily analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2008 |
KHR
3 - 1
USM
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
ISM
3 - 1
USM
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
USM
0 - 2
KOU
69%
21%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2008 |
ALG
0 - 0
USM
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
ALW
3 - 1
USM
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ismaily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2008 |
ELD
1 - 0
ISM
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
ALT
1 - 2
ISM
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
ISM
3 - 1
USM
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
ISM
2 - 1
ETI
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ISM
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |