USM Alger vs Gor Mahia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
HUS
0 - 1
USM
41%
29%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
YOU
2 - 1
USM
18%
22%
60%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
USM
3 - 1
DTA
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
ALQ
0 - 1
USM
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
USM
1 - 1
RAY
91%
8%
2%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Gor Mahia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GOR
2 - 0
AFC
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
SOF
0 - 3
GOR
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
GOR
1 - 2
RAY
84%
13%
4%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
GOR
1 - 0
CHE
73%
19%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
GOR
3 - 1
KAK
67%
22%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |