USM Alger vs El Bayadh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
3º
9º
9º
0
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
0 | 50 |
1º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 50 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 49 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 49 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 49 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 47 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 47 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 44 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
|
11º
|
0 | 43 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 35 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 34 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 32 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
0 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
6% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 67% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 3
USM
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
USM
3 - 0
SOU
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 1
USM
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
USM
58%
25%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
USM
0 - 2
ETO
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
El Bayadh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
SET
1 - 0
EBA
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
EBA
1 - 0
ETO
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
ORA
2 - 0
EBA
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
EBA
2 - 1
USB
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 0
EBA
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |