USM Alger vs CS Constantine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
USM
2 - 0
ORA
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TLE
1 - 1
USM
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
USM
2 - 0
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
EUL
2 - 1
USM
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
USM
2 - 0
KHR
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CS Constantine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
KHR
31%
31%
38%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ORA
2 - 1
CON
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CON
4 - 1
HAR
24%
31%
46%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CAB
0 - 0
CON
41%
30%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
ALG
24%
31%
46%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |