USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
7º
5º
23
2º
16º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 51 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 48 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 48 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 44 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 38 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 36 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 34 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 28 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 25 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
17% | 37% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
15% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 49% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USM
1 - 0
EBA
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
USM
2 - 1
USB
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NCM
0 - 0
USM
40%
29%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 3
USM
42%
29%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
USM
3 - 0
SOU
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CR Belouizdad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 3
EBA
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USB
0 - 0
BEL
26%
30%
43%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
USK
0 - 0
BEL
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
SET
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 1
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |