USM Alger vs ASM Oran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 2
USM
35%
31%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
USM
1 - 2
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
RCR
3 - 0
USM
35%
31%
34%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
USM
2 - 0
BEL
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -3 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
USM
4 - 0
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
ASM Oran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 3
BEL
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
ASM
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 5
MOB
31%
29%
41%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SET
3 - 1
ASM
74%
18%
9%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 3
ORA
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |