USM Alger vs Al Ahli Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
USM
43%
30%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
USM
3 - 0
CAB
76%
17%
7%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
JSK
1 - 1
USM
37%
32%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
RCR
2 - 0
USM
42%
30%
28%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
RAI
1 - 0
USM
9%
20%
72%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | -2 |
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FUR
3 - 1
TRI
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TRI
2 - 0
FUR
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TRI
2 - 0
ALL
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALL
1 - 3
TRI
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
CSS
1 - 0
TRI
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |